Analytics
Resolved Magic on 5 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Magic at 62%. The Magic side opened at 50% on 3 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 4 Oct 2025 and the low 50% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 66.5% on 4 Oct 2025. $43.57K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Magic price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Oct 2025 – 5 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Magic price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 5 Oct 2025 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sjsueusnsj | Heat | 10K |
| RelentlessMist703 | Heat | 1K |
| tonyhurricane | Heat | 1K |
| St-Qc | Heat | 926.99 |
| EVplusrebate | Heat | 273.01 |
| tombi | Heat | 270 |
| Usernombre | Heat | 256.69 |
| ElectroEater | Heat | 215 |
| allinbro | Heat | 200 |
| Sharkbets.pro | Heat | 193.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”. If the Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-mia-2025-10-04
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