Analytics
Resolved Cavaliers on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cavaliers at 83.5%. The Magic side opened at 48% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the low 16.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 16.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $351.91K traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 1:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Magic price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Magic price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Magic | 78.64K |
| Substantial-Service | Magic | 8.17K |
| Sick-Backyard | Magic | 7.8K |
| hi774c | Magic | 4.57K |
| frugs | Magic | 4.46K |
| megacapper | Magic | 3.07K |
| Olasheriff1 | Magic | 2.46K |
| Ming1997 | Magic | 1.64K |
| Digital-Hoof | Magic | 1.5K |
| Medo3D | Magic | 1.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:30PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-cle-2026-10-11
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