Analytics
Resolved Bulls on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Bulls at 36.5%. The Magic side opened at 45% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the low 45% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 51.5% on 29 Dec 2025. $1.61M traded over the market's life.
508 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Magic price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Magic price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MRSILENTTRADES | Magic | 67.29K |
| c4c4 | Magic | 26K |
| benwyatt | Magic | 11.22K |
| mmmmmmh | Magic | 10.01K |
| Bienville | Magic | 9.87K |
| gloriafoster | Magic | 9.04K |
| terminalline - 20450 | Magic | 8.29K |
| Aespafans | Magic | 5.77K |
| Poidl | Magic | 5.42K |
| Sary | Magic | 4.1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 2 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-orl-chi-2026-01-02
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