Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 38.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70.5% on 1 Mar 2026 and the low 59% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 59% on 3 Mar 2026.
517 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 5:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 27 Feb 2026 – 5 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 59.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Knicks | 40K |
| Ivory Ledger 752C | Knicks | 40K |
| sportmaster777 | Knicks | 21.69K |
| nellbear | Knicks | 21.48K |
| Emerald Signal E243 | Knicks | 21.16K |
| Wild-Coffin | Knicks | 20.09K |
| REDVAELL | Knicks | 17.31K |
| omoi0i0 | Knicks | 15K |
| Itwasalladream | Knicks | 13.55K |
| KaneAnalytics | Knicks | 13.39K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 4 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-nyk-2026-03-04
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