
Resolved Thunder on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 65.5%. The Thunder side opened at 50% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 65.5% on 15 Oct 2025 and the lowest 50% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 65.5% on 15 Oct 2025. $30.14K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 8:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 65.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ziigmund | Bucks | 1.47K |
| Zz2025zZ | Bucks | 500 |
| BrianCardinal | Bucks | 400 |
| Kbr | Bucks | 217.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-mil-2025-10-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| AION51OO | Bucks | 83.33 |
| Shetty18 | Bucks | 3.13 |