Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 84.5%. The Thunder side opened at 65% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 84.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the low 65% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 84.5% on 3 Jan 2026. $4.05M traded over the market's life.
343 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Thunder price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Thunder price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 65.0% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 84.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | Warriors | 339.16K |
| OkinawaMoongazer | Warriors | 265K |
| moje999 | Warriors | 144.72K |
| Countryside | Warriors | 117.47K |
| XORP | Warriors | 30K |
| SportsPsychology101 | Warriors | 27.14K |
| Flowery-Kilogram | Warriors | 17.82K |
| NebulaBite | Warriors | 16K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Warriors | 13.55K |
| caydenali | Warriors | 12.41K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-gsw-2026-01-02
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