Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 3 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 17.5%. The Warriors side opened at 44% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 82.5% on 3 Dec 2025 and the low 44% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 79% on 28 Nov 2025. $3.42M traded over the market's life.
430 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Warriors price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 27 Nov 2025 – 3 Dec 2025
| Observed | Warriors price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 44.0% |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | Warriors | 191.68K |
| luckboxx | Warriors | 134.14K |
| RipVanWinkle | Warriors | 101.73K |
| Aespafans | Warriors | 69.06K |
| lavarball | Warriors | 28.87K |
| BABELCONSTEL | Warriors | 10.77K |
| snipergangjose | Warriors | 10K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Warriors | 7.1K |
| GlorioJr | Warriors | 5K |
| asdfasf21sdf31 | Warriors | 5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 2 at 11:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-okc-gsw-2025-12-02
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