
Resolved Bucks on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Bucks at 82.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 29.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the low 15.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 20.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $4.56M traded over the market's life.
520 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 27.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Thunder | 57.55K |
| Bienville | Thunder | 44.25K |
| 432614799197 | Thunder | 41.54K |
| Neon Vector 8DA5 | Thunder | 40.94K |
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Thunder | 35K |
| Harmful-Wood | Thunder | 34.02K |
| one8tyfive | Thunder | 27.9K |
| Emerald Signal E243 | Thunder | 25K |
| SackOballs | Thunder | 20.12K |
| XORP | Thunder | 20K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 12 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mil-okc-2026-02-12
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