
Resolved Bucks on 6 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Bucks at 51%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2025 to 6 Apr 2025, the highest close was 54% on 4 Apr 2025 and the lowest 49% on 6 Apr 2025. $629.24K traded over the market's life.
269 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 6 Apr 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 6 Apr 2025 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TeddyAC01 | Heat | 333 |
| Cosmic Tide 9595 | Heat | 200 |
| Keen Falcon 45C0 | Heat | 200 |
| Quiet Falcon 0CD3 | Heat | 200 |
| Emerald Raven 1947 | Heat | 200 |
| Indigo Voyager A1A9 | Heat | 200 |
| Bold Scout 76BF | Heat | 200 |
| Bold Tide E1E7 | Heat | 200 |
| Emerald Maven 3558 | Heat | 200 |
| Quiet Sphinx 022C | Heat | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 8:00PM ET: If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”. If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mil-mia-2025-04-05
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