Analytics
Resolved Heat on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Heat at 80.5%. The Heat side opened at 41.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 80.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the low 41.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 80.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $398.87K traded over the market's life.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 1:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Heat price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Heat price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | 41.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EV-Andars | Raptors | 9.26K |
| Neon Vector 8DA5 | Raptors | 8.03K |
| cybercherry | Raptors | 5.2K |
| one8tyfive | Raptors | 5K |
| RegardedMoney | Raptors | 4.04K |
| workingonstuff | Raptors | 3.5K |
| astapzippo | Raptors | 3.47K |
| DiversifiedBS | Raptors | 2.67K |
| Jackcc2 | Raptors | 2.24K |
| roltonmeow | Raptors | 2.08K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-tor-2026-10-03
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