Analytics
Resolved Magic on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Magic at 82%. The Heat side opened at 24% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 23 Oct 2025, the highest close was 24% on 21 Oct 2025 and the lowest 18% on 23 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 18% on 23 Oct 2025. $763.81K traded over the market's life.
135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Heat price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025, chart shows 16%–26%
| Observed | Heat price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 24.0% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Heat | 40K |
| sadilamb | Heat | 12.99K |
| SpartanWar | Heat | 7.49K |
| kawaakari | Heat | 5.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-orl-2025-10-22
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