Analytics
Resolved Heat on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Heat at 71.5%. Yes opened at 36% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 37.5% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 7 Mar 2026.
523 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 4:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 36.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SammySledge | Hornets | 189.98K |
| statwC00KS | Hornets | 49.51K |
| MMKing | Hornets | 49.5K |
| sportmaster777 | Hornets | 31.05K |
| lavarball | Hornets | 25K |
| BarneyZ | Hornets | 14.85K |
| test124566 | Hornets | 12K |
| FelipeDiniz | Hornets | 7.34K |
| BABELCONSTEL | Hornets | 6.93K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Hornets | 5.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-cha-2026-03-06
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