
Resolved Heat on 27 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Heat at 43.5%. The Heat side opened at 40% on 21 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 22 Dec 2025 and the low 40% on 21 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 50% on 22 Dec 2025. $2.63M traded over the market's life.
512 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Heat price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 21 Dec 2025 – 27 Dec 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Heat price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | 40.0% |
| 27 Dec 2025 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moje999 | Hawks | 134.12K |
| knedloveprovelo | Hawks | 26.03K |
| s790451 | Hawks | 25.04K |
| Painfulvoid | Hawks | 22.38K |
| Dhdhsjsj | Hawks | 21.21K |
| Dirty-Normalization | Hawks | 9.93K |
| DrawNoBett | Hawks | 9K |
| UncleNewton | Hawks | 7.91K |
| MrFatal | Hawks | 7.4K |
| SunlineTicker | Hawks | 7.36K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-mia-atl-2025-12-26
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