Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 86.5%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 3 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 13.5% on 6 May 2026 and the low 11.5% on 3 May 2026. $7.62M traded over the market's life.
509 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 3:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 3 May 2026 – 6 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 6%–18%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | 11.5% |
| 6 May 2026 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SecondWindCapital | Lakers | 1.46M |
| 98unfsd | Lakers | 109.76K |
| klsdklads | Lakers | 100.18K |
| JuicySlots | Lakers | 74K |
| Ill-Mind | Lakers | 70K |
| SANKARREDDY | Lakers | 50K |
| GeorgeIII | Lakers | 40K |
| Rare-Dishwasher | Lakers | 32.72K |
| imdylprods | Lakers | 16.92K |
| traderwins180 | Lakers | 13.69K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 12:00AM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-okc-2026-05-05
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