Analytics
Resolved Thunder on 3 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Thunder at 69.5%. Yes opened at 24% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 30.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the low 24% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 30.5% on 29 Mar 2026. $3.66M traded over the market's life.
527 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 28 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 24.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anotherpipe | Lakers | 134.92K |
| Maxdaboss1 | Lakers | 49.36K |
| Rewarding-Secretariat | Lakers | 48.24K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Lakers | 38.75K |
| Bleak-Jealousy | Lakers | 22.74K |
| jt7 | Lakers | 20.17K |
| omnini | Lakers | 11.79K |
| pmarketbeast | Lakers | 11.73K |
| herdrono109 | Lakers | 11.47K |
| PredictionMaxxer | Lakers | 10.47K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 2 at 9:30PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-okc-2026-04-02
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