
Resolved Heat on 5 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Heat at 60.5%. The Lakers side opened at 49.5% on 2 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2024 to 5 Dec 2024, the highest close was 62% on 3 Dec 2024 and the lowest 39.5% on 5 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 48.5% on 4 Dec 2024. $261.99K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lakers price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Dec 2024 – 5 Dec 2024, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Lakers price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2024 | 49.5% |
| 5 Dec 2024 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 4 at 7:30PM ET: If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”. If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”. If the game is not completed by December 11, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-lal-mia-2024-12-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| donna31 | Lakers | 31.67 |
| wenlaoshi | Lakers | 30 |
| wrightkristin | Lakers | 29.95 |
| BengalCatBalu | Lakers | 23.81 |
| Ben1123 | Lakers | 18.33 |
| Anomaly99 | Lakers | 11.11 |