Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 13 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2025 to 14 Jun 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 14 Jun 2025 and the lowest 43% on 13 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 51.5% on 14 Jun 2025. $19.66K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Jun 2025 – 14 Jun 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2025 | 43.0% |
| 14 Jun 2025 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PPWILLWIN | No | 64.99 |
| Neon Tide 4919 | No | 46.02 |
| Jade Pulse 462D | No | 20 |
| tsugua | No | 9.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Finals Game 4 versus the Indiana Pacers, scheduled for June 13, 2025, 8:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores more than 33.5 points in his game against the Pacers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this game is cancelled, postponed past June 13, or Shai Gilgeous-Alexander otherwise doesn't play in the game, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the NBA (https://www.nba.com).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-finals-g4-will-sga-score-34-points-against-the-pacers
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