Analytics
Resolved Bucks on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Bucks at 68.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 25 Jan 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 23.5% on 3 Mar 2026. $2.6M traded over the market's life.
569 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Vector 8DA5 | Mavericks | 47.13K |
| terminalline - 20450 | Mavericks | 25.18K |
| frankfrankfrank | Mavericks | 23.73K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-dal-mil-2026-01-25
| Mavericks |
| 19.72K |
| Coarse-Futon | Mavericks | 14.75K |
| omoi0i0 | Mavericks | 9.76K |
| jizzbucket57 | Mavericks | 6K |
| NebulaBite | Mavericks | 5.05K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mavericks | 3.04K |
| cumulus33 | Mavericks | 2.53K |
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