Analytics
Resolved Cavaliers on 12 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Cavaliers at 35%. The Cavaliers side opened at 50% on 9 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2025 to 12 Jul 2025, the highest close was 50% on 9 Jul 2025 and the lowest 35% on 12 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 12 Jul 2025. $14.02K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Cavaliers price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 Jul 2025 – 12 Jul 2025, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Cavaliers price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2025 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jul 2025 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Bucks | 604 |
| Usernombre | Bucks | 500 |
| St-Qc | Bucks | 298 |
| Whcr | Bucks | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:30PM ET: If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”. If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-cle-mil-2025-07-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Motka | Bucks | 29.64 |
| Anzelo10 | Bucks | 20.83 |
| MrPali | Bucks | 6.25 |
| Ivory Lynx 8836 | Bucks | 2.69 |
| JeremyFTW | Bucks | 2.04 |
| marlavargas | Bucks | 1.22 |
