Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, the high was 8% on 31 Aug 2024 and the low 0.4% on 7 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points down, to 2.4% on 1 Sep 2024. $50.12K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 8, 3:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 31 Aug 2024 – 7 Sep 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 8.0% |
| 7 Sep 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ER02CB | Yes | 1.25K |
| flo123 | Yes | 747.62 |
| sarkisovvv | Yes | 10.53 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US National Guard is deployed in Aurora, Colorado in response to gang activity between August 29 and September 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of the US National Guard (including the Colorado National Guard) will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/national-guard-deployed-to-aurora-by-next-friday
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