
Resolved No on 16 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 1 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 1 May 2024 to 16 May 2024, the highest close was 8% on 1 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 May 2024. $34.58K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 1:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 1 May 2024 – 16 May 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2024 | 8.0% |
| 16 May 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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