Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 55.5% on 9 Feb 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 55.5% on 9 Feb 2025. $6K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 368 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| DefiFranzi | Yes | 419.72 |
| DumbMoney1 | Yes | 285.78 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nara Smith and/or Lucky Blue Smith announce their intention to divorce between December 29, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Nara Smith and/or Lucky Blue Smith, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nara-lucky-divorce-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 149.9 |
| Jade Pulse 0ED4 | Yes | 124 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 89 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 88.27 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 76 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
