Analytics
Resolved Pelosi on 27 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Pelosi at 21%. The Pelosi side opened at 50% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 27 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 21% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 21% on 27 Dec 2025. $1.49K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 29, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Pelosi price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 27 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Pelosi price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 27 Dec 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Awkward-Constellation | MTG | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | MTG | 150 |
| rocketcrypto | MTG | 15 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | MTG | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning December 22, 2025, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning December 22, 2025, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If the relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official 1-week trailing percentage return figure published for the relevant index for the day of that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If a relevant index’s 1-week trailing percentage return figure for for the last trading day of the specified week is not published by the time that the figure for the first trading day of the next week is published, this market will resolve based on the most recent 1-week trailing percentage return figure published by the specified resolution source for a day prior to the last trading day of the specified week. Updates to historical prices or figures displayed for either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.
| KilyZa | MTG | 2.28 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
