Analytics
Resolved MTG on 20 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had MTG at 82.5%. The MTG side opened at 50% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 20 Dec 2025, the highest close was 82.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 50% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 74% on 18 Dec 2025. $612.01 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the MTG price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025
| Observed | MTG price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Pelosi | 150 |
| rocketcrypto | Pelosi | 15 |
| NotDonaldTrump | Pelosi | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index outperforms the Nancy Pelosi Index for the week beginning December 15, 2025, this market will resolve to "MTG". If the Nancy Pelosi Index outperforms the Marjorie Taylor Greene Index for the week beginning December 15, 2025, this market will resolve to "Pelosi". The resolution source for Marjorie Taylor Greene ("MTG") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559397469116612608 The resolution source for Nancy Pelosi ("Pelosi") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559433043512836096 The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week, found in the "Performance table" under "1W". The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner. If index performances over the specified date range are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price. Updates to historical prices displayed by either index subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are updated mid-timeframe.
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