Analytics
Resolved USA on 21 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had USA at 100%. The USA side opened at 88.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 21 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 21 Feb 2026 and the lowest 88.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 100% on 21 Feb 2026. $3.22M traded over the market's life.
482 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 22, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the USA price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 21 Feb 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | USA price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 88.5% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Sadness | Slovakia | 752.67K |
| Frivolous-Spiritual | Slovakia | 183.7K |
| wooter | Slovakia | 96.42K |
| Bright-Caution | Slovakia | 53.85K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Men's Winter Olympics Hockey game, scheduled for 2026-02-20: If USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If Slovakia win, the market will resolve to "Slovakia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.olympics.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mwoh-usa-slo-2026-02-20
| Scaly-Packet | Slovakia | 42K |
| ALMOST | Slovakia | 30K |
| Sharp-Mesenchyme | Slovakia | 26.68K |
| knedloveprovelo | Slovakia | 19.28K |
| one8tyfive | Slovakia | 16.27K |
| su281 | Slovakia | 16K |
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