Analytics
Resolved Perry on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Perry at 60%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 29 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 41.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $481.03K traded over the market's life.
219 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 6:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 32.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 123abc | Diaz | 86.17K |
| peepeepooppoop | Diaz | 6K |
| Codey | Diaz | 4.78K |
| Whispered-Soda | Diaz | 4.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mvp-fight-night-nate-diaz-vs-mike-perry
| fauni | Diaz | 2.8K |
| Favorable-Asparagus | Diaz | 2.25K |
| DONKEYFISHBET | Diaz | 2K |
| chao9152 | Diaz | 1.99K |
| cowcat | Diaz | 1.83K |
| Juvenile-Table | Diaz | 1.48K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
