Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 23 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2024 to 24 Mar 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 24 Mar 2024 and the lowest 89.5% on 23 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 97.5% on 24 Mar 2024. $97.53K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Mar 2024 – 24 Mar 2024, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2024 | 89.5% |
| 24 Mar 2024 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Subarist05 | No | 3.33K |
| 0xaf | No | 300 |
| Cuddly-Planter | No | 10 |
| ahahahah | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Muslim group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". ‘Muslim group’ will be considered any group which identifies itself as Islamic or Muslim in its ideology or motivation. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Muslim group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian government and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/muslim-group-responsible-for-moscow-terror-attack
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