Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.5%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 83.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 80.5% on 19 Oct 2026. $12.81K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 2:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026, chart shows 76%–88%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 83.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | No | 9.18K |
| grasstoucher69 | No | 968.5 |
| d33z0 | No | 200 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 174 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msft-close-above-on-october-19-2026
| anon332 | No | 59.23 |
| a5533 | No | 31 |
| Gordon-Gekko | No | 31 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
