Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 26 Dec 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 3% on 21 Dec 2025. $10.62K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 28, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 26 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 52.5% |
| 26 Dec 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 691 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 394.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 376.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 309 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msft-above-on-december-26-2025
| 9735 | Yes | 299.99 |
| tiancs | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 183 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| mumu456 | Yes | 150 |
| baquee | Yes | 126.47 |
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