Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2024 to 22 Mar 2024, the highest close was 98.7% on 20 Mar 2024 and the lowest 49.5% on 9 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 90.5% on 10 Mar 2024. $47.85K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 9 Feb 2024 – 22 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2024 | 49.5% |
| 22 Mar 2024 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are more Southwest border encounters in Feb 2024 compared to Jan 2024 (see https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first report of data for Feb 2024 compared with the Jan 2024 at the time of February's release, regardless of future revisions. The resolution source is https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters.
Resolution source: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/southwest-land-border-encounters
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-migrant-encounters-at-border-in-february-compared-to-january
| Yes |
| 0.99 |
| MissJ | Yes | 0.99 |
| Catmiu | Yes | 0.99 |
| JamTomm | Yes | 0.99 |
| SandyT | Yes | 0.99 |
| MarkJ | Yes | 0.99 |
| Mrck | Yes | 0.99 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
