Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 14 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 80 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2023 to 2 Mar 2024, the highest close was 95% on 29 Feb 2024 and the lowest 50.5% on 2 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 50.5% on 2 Mar 2024. $17.31K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 9:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 14 Dec 2023 – 2 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2023 | 54.5% |
| 2 Mar 2024 | 50.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohammed Deif remains in the leadership of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from December 13 through March 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mohamed-deif-still-in-hamas-leadership-through-march-1
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