
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 17 Jul 2025, the highest close was 56.5% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 17 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 49.5% on 17 Jul 2025. $6.38K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 17 Jul 2025, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 56.5% |
| 17 Jul 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Ledger 05BD | Yes | 750 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 622 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 335 |
| Quiet Sphinx ADB6 | Yes | 250 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming MLS soccer match, scheduled for July 16, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET between Orlando City and New York City FC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-soccer-orlando-city-vs-nycfc
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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