
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 44% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 16 Jul 2025 and the low 21% on 17 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 21% on 17 Jul 2025. $5.82K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 17 Jul 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 44.0% |
| 17 Jul 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 637 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 416.29 |
| nightcrawler | Yes | 94.34 |
| EVplusrebate | Yes | 94 |
| tito999 | Yes | 87.93 |
| Golden Scout 92FB | Yes | 68.32 |
| Leeio | Yes | 21.28 |
| Marian1998 | Yes | 4.44 |
| pepetorra | Yes | 2.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming MLS soccer match, scheduled for July 16, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-soccer-atlanta-united-vs-chicago-fire
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