Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 49% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 16 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 19% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 19% on 16 Mar 2026. $711.39K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 16 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jizzbucket57 | Yes | 19K |
| Cannae | Yes | 14.14K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 4.62K |
| CemeterySun | Yes | 2.37K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 15, 2026, If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-sje-sea-2026-03-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.37K |
| Irritating-Keeper | Yes | 1K |
| katrinakaif | Yes | 1K |
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 1K |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 950.28 |
| Acen13 | Yes | 752.99 |
