
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 28.5% on 9 Mar 2026.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.37K |
| Cannae | Yes | 779.82 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 601.62 |
| gjfdk8ef4gty6 | Yes | 384.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders FC.
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-sje-sea-2026-03-15
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