Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 19 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 21.5% on 12 Oct 2025. $769.34 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 19 Oct 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 19 Oct 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tappingno | Yes | 124 |
| Doting-Cygnet | Yes | 110 |
| sparkIatl | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2025, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-nyc-sea-2025-10-18
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