Analytics
Yes is at 34.5%, down 14 points from 48% when the market opened on 12 Apr 2026.
The high was 53.5% on 8 Jun 2026 and the low 25.5% on 24 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 40%; a month ago, 38%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 30% on 11 May 2026.
New York City FC ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC”. Los Angeles FC leads at 39.5%; Draw (New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC) is at 27.5%.
$34.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $712.42 since listing. The order book holds $23.59K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $94.54 bought Yes and $25.93 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Trusting-Brass with 169 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 379. Ten wallets hold 88% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 20 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 4:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 179 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 48.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 378.87 |
| Trusting-Brass | Yes | 168.74 |
| TerribleTowel | Yes | 149.72 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 6, 2026 If New York City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-nyc-laf-2026-05-06
| de4th.to.russian.invaders | No | 95.58 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 43.49 |
| caipiao | Yes | 29.57 |
| mickreid | Yes | 25.18 |
| tetterball2 | Yes | 24.68 |
| ameisgoat11 | No | 24.36 |
| EF717 | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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