Analytics
Yes is at 21%, down 6.5 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 24 Aug 2026.
The high was 45.5% on 12 Sep 2026 and the low 15.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 22.5%; a month ago, 27.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 45% on 11 Sep 2026.
Draw (FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC) ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC”. FC Cincinnati leads at 56.5%; D.C. United SC is at 23.5%.
$278.92 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.67K since listing. The order book holds $16.86K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 86 trades, $686.6 bought Yes and $210.4 bought No.
The largest Yes position is greatjoy with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is AnonymousUsername with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 19, 5:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 24 Aug 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | 27.5% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 21.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| greatjoy | Yes | 2.27K |
| AnonymousUsername | No | 2.17K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.57K |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-fcc-dcu-2026-09-05
| testyeagles | Yes | 839.82 |
| Flaznorp | Yes | 218.65 |
| suntori | Yes | 190.47 |
| Gaditima | No | 102.56 |
| KOGamble6273 | Yes | 76.64 |
| AJSV | Yes | 69.24 |
| NM-P | No | 65.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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