
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the low 21.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 23.5% on 16 Mar 2026.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 4:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 697.9 |
| tokko | Yes | 405.55 |
| Cannae | Yes | 262.41 |
| 8288283 | Yes | 177.36 |
| human.bean | Yes | 163.12 |
| Sorrowful-Banana | Yes | 100 |
| Avarice31 | Yes | 90 |
| Hot-Temperature | Yes | 83.33 |
| GbushiCshuo | Yes | 75.8 |
| Cobalt Maven 20A7 | Yes | 66.66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC.
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mls-aus-laf-2026-03-21
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