Analytics
Resolved Padres on 12 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Padres at 45.5%. The Padres side opened at 51% on 11 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Aug 2025 to 12 Aug 2025, the highest close was 51% on 11 Aug 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 45.5% on 12 Aug 2025. $822.42K traded over the market's life.
176 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Padres price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Aug 2025 – 12 Aug 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Padres price |
|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2025 | 51.0% |
| 12 Aug 2025 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Curvy-Trout | Giants | 888 |
| kz999999 | Giants | 523.08 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Giants | 328 |
| Usernombre | Giants | 299.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for August 11 at 9:45PM ET: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to “Padres”. If the San Francisco Giants win, the market will resolve to “Giants”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-sd-sf-2025-08-11
| Kng47 | Giants | 247.44 |
| Bright Kestrel D670 | Giants | 200 |
| Quiet Lynx D995 | Giants | 200 |
| Keen Falcon 6C14 | Giants | 200 |
| Indigo Vector B82E | Giants | 200 |
| Jade Pioneer 52A2 | Giants | 200 |
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