Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 47.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 21 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 25 Jul 2026 and the low 50% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 58% on 25 Jul 2026. $10.11K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 5:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 21 Jul 2026 – 26 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 4.07K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Yes | 1.6K |
| forecastication4 | Yes | 1.04K |
| poshposh | Yes | 559.39 |
| Similar-Sin-Vote | Yes | 250 |
| slimjoe | Yes | 143 |
| Bagwell307 | Yes | 100 |
| Bagwell306 | Yes | 50 |
| Elementary-Leeway | Yes | 24.7 |
| aAa | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 26 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the San Diego Padres or Miami Marlins. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-sd-mia-2026-07-26
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