Analytics
Resolved Padres on 22 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Padres at 71.5%. The Padres side opened at 45.5% on 21 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Jul 2025 to 22 Jul 2025, the highest close was 71.5% on 22 Jul 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 71.5% on 22 Jul 2025. $881.35K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Padres price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Jul 2025 – 22 Jul 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Padres price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2025 | 45.5% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neat-Brushfire | Marlins | 248.59K |
| Alert-Doubling | Marlins | 37.51K |
| squillyboy | Marlins | 6.86K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Marlins | 5.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for July 21 at 6:40PM ET: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to “Padres”. If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to “Marlins”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-sd-mia-2025-07-21
| josephjoestar | Marlins | 4.2K |
| Lazy-Sorrel | Marlins | 2.34K |
| Letmewin | Marlins | 1.85K |
| gatorade | Marlins | 1.41K |
| Keen Scout 92FA | Marlins | 200 |
| Royal Beacon BD95 | Marlins | 200 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
