Analytics
Resolved Arizona Diamondbacks on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arizona Diamondbacks at 51.5%. The San Diego Padres side opened at 50% on 29 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2026 to 4 Aug 2026, the highest close was 52% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 46.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $1.2M traded over the market's life.
161 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 4:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the San Diego Padres price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | San Diego Padres price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Harbor 8492 | San Diego Padres | 86.73K |
| PleaseWinPlease | San Diego Padres | 20K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | San Diego Padres | 12.09K |
| AnonymousUsername | San Diego Padres |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 3 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-sd-ari-2026-08-03
| 9.1K |
| NoMMS111 | San Diego Padres | 4K |
| ElectroEater | San Diego Padres | 2.6K |
| riggggggedGGGGr | San Diego Padres | 2K |
| xfile | San Diego Padres | 1.9K |
| Complicated-Chassis | San Diego Padres | 1.87K |
| Chillinvillian | San Diego Padres | 1.72K |
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