Analytics
Resolved Houston Astros on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Houston Astros at 53.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 16 Jul 2026 and the low 45.5% on 21 Jul 2026. $156.62K traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 2:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 16 Jul 2026 – 22 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 46.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Miami Marlins | 11.83K |
| comon119 | Miami Marlins | 5K |
| sentrio | Miami Marlins | 4.28K |
| ElectroEater | Miami Marlins | 3K |
| Crazy-Research | Miami Marlins | 2.17K |
| Moonshot1019 | Miami Marlins | 2.13K |
| Usernombre | Miami Marlins | 1.9K |
| mlbman | Miami Marlins | 1.78K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Miami Marlins | 1.2K |
| Only-Canon-Beverage | Miami Marlins | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 21 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-mia-hou-2026-07-21
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