Analytics
Resolved Red Sox on 16 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Red Sox at 48%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 16 Aug 2025, the highest close was 52% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 39.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 52% on 16 Aug 2025. $615.86K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 16 Aug 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 39.5% |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neat-Brushfire | Marlins | 216K |
| Alert-Doubling | Marlins | 56.93K |
| Quaint-Enclave | Marlins | 3K |
| greninja | Marlins | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for August 15 at 7:10PM ET: If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to “Marlins”. If the Boston Red Sox win, the market will resolve to “Red Sox”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-mia-bos-2025-08-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| q1532522 | Marlins | 970 |
| iamgoodddddddddd | Marlins | 626 |
| ShonDevidson | Marlins | 250 |
| Bobloblaw5050 | Marlins | 181.82 |
| Kng47 | Marlins | 166.77 |
| Mihigh | Marlins | 123 |
