Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 43% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 43% on 20 Oct 2026. $14.25K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| poshposh | Yes | 1.5K |
| banepir | Yes | 1.24K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Yes | 487.22 |
| mercury777 | Yes | 219.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 19 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Cleveland Guardians or Tampa Bay Rays. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-tb-2026-10-19
| Bagwell306 | Yes | 99 |
| jewel-bundren | Yes | 90.51 |
| Excitable-Chime-Basil | Yes | 50.31 |
| oookkjjdd | Yes | 34.88 |
| Solar Quasar 3A53 | Yes | 29.41 |
| kostyatech | Yes | 14 |
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