Analytics
Resolved Cleveland Guardians on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cleveland Guardians at 54.5%. Yes opened at 54% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 68% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 45.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $559.14K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 9:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 54.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Harbor 8492 | Miami Marlins | 48.21K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Miami Marlins | 21.99K |
| ic4cream | Miami Marlins | 14K |
| sentrio | Miami Marlins |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-cle-mia-2026-07-12
| 10.97K |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Miami Marlins | 10K |
| AnonymousUsername | Miami Marlins | 9.84K |
| Vigilant-Environment | Miami Marlins | 4.92K |
| ElectroEater | Miami Marlins | 3.7K |
| 0xMS8hRTF45823GhpjKuhwefuy38bf | Miami Marlins | 2.2K |
| Wrong-Pod-Muscle | Miami Marlins | 1.95K |
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