Analytics
Resolved Astros on 12 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Astros at 99.5%. The Reds side opened at 43% on 11 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 May 2025 to 12 May 2025, the highest close was 43% on 11 May 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 12 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 0.5% on 12 May 2025. $35.24K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 6:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Reds price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 May 2025 – 12 May 2025
| Observed | Reds price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | 43.0% |
| 12 May 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fatiguedofwinning | Reds | 5.05K |
| St-Qc | Reds | 324.6 |
| 231554JHG | Reds | 25 |
| kamlot | Astros | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for May 11 at 2:10PM ET: If the Cincinnati Reds win, the market will resolve to “Reds”. If the Houston Astros win, the market will resolve to “Astros”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-cin-hou-2025-05-11
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