Analytics
Resolved Blue Jays on 13 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Blue Jays at 47%. The Orioles side opened at 45% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 13 Sep 2025, the highest close was 53% on 13 Sep 2025 and the lowest 45% on 12 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 53% on 13 Sep 2025. $1.01M traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Orioles price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 13 Sep 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Orioles price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 45.0% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | 53.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 10xBTClong | Orioles | 609.81K |
| Outstanding-Lag | Orioles | 5.02K |
| Junyeon | Orioles | 1.09K |
| Decisive-Jackfruit | Orioles | 900 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for September 12 at 7:07PM ET: If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to “Orioles”. If the Toronto Blue Jays win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jays”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-bal-tor-2025-09-12
| Usernombre | Orioles | 351.54 |
| rainystreett | Orioles | 217.39 |
| Hagen | Orioles | 217.39 |
| Emerald Lynx 2E30 | Orioles | 200 |
| Quiet Vector B3A6 | Orioles | 200 |
| Ivory Kestrel 3374 | Orioles | 200 |
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