Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 16 Jul 2026 and the low 49.5% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 61.5% on 16 Jul 2026. $11.26K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 12 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MadeiraIsland | No | 775.63 |
| Ajwritescrypt0 | No | 600 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 152.27 |
| Amber Pioneer 90CF | No | 93.31 |
| CavaSoTasty | No | 17.49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 17 at 8:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Baltimore Orioles or Houston Astros. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-bal-hou-2026-07-17
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